CONTENTS

CREDITS

Credits

CREDITS

RESEARCH
City Science, MIT Media Lab. Supervision: Kent Larson, with Luis Alonso.
THE ANDORRA SCENARIO ENGINE (URBAN SCIENCE, 2026)
Marcel Bartumeu Ramentol, Parfait Atchade-Adelomou, Adrian Mora-Carrero, Kent Larson, Luis Alonso-Pastor, Marta Domenech (Andorra Research + Innovation).
h-ABM BEHAVIOR ENGINE · SOURCED
City Science team (TechRxiv preprint: Mora, Atchade-Adelomou, Alonso-Pastor et al.). My part: the coupling, identification checks and outcome memory.
PARTNER
Andorra Research + Innovation.
DATA
Official Andorran statistics and inventories (Departament d’Estadística and the other sources cited per series in the source drawer), Observatori d’Andorra survey aggregates (no microdata), OpenStreetMap contributors where streets are drawn, and the San Francisco Assessor parcel map.
MAPS AND DATA LICENCES
Street geometry © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL). Globe land: Natural Earth 1:110m (public domain). Globe idea after Three.js Interactive Vertex Earth (Bobby Roe, MIT licence); rewritten, no code copied.
KENDALL SQUARE WORLD · DATA
A synthetic population of the City of Cambridge, Massachusetts, which I built in 2026; every person in it is fictional. Census geography: U.S. Census Bureau. Street and path geometry © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL). Transit timetables and shapes: MBTA GTFS.
THIS SITE
Design and code: Marcel Bartumeu Ramentol. Type: the system’s SF Pro where the device has it, otherwise Inter; Syne and Instrument Serif (both SIL OFL, self-hosted). three.js, GSAP, Lenis.

DATA SOURCES

  • Resident population: official statistics (SIGDDE), 31 December, 2010 to 2024.
  • GDP per capita, nominal euros, as used in the model inputs.
  • Housing burden, percent of income: 2010 to 2017 back-extended, 2018 to 2024 from the household survey (ECV).
  • CO2: national inventory (BTR1) for 2010 to 2021; 2022 to 2024 are fuel-based central estimates, not official.
  • Electricity demand: no observed series; 2024 is the model’s own 2024 state, and later years assume 2024 use per resident.
  • Visitors per year, tourists and day-trippers (2012 methodology), from the tourism series of the model. Not overnight stays.
  • Natural land cover: an estimate from observed land cover, 2010 to 2024, joined to the model’s 2024 state with a 0.034 percentage-point step.
  • PM2.5 in Escaldes-Engordany: European Environment Agency TEOM series, 2018 to 2024; the gravimetric years 2014 to 2017 are left out because the method changed.
  • Hospital beds per 1,000 service population: observed in 2017, 2019, 2023 and 2024.
  • Summer water stress (WEI): no observed series; 2024 is the model’s own 2024 state.

COLOPHON

Type: the system’s SF Pro where the device has it, otherwise Inter; Syne and Instrument Serif (both SIL OFL, self-hosted). Built with three.js, GSAP and Lenis on Vite, as a static site with no cookies and no analytics on panel use.

CHANGELOG

v1.0, built 18 October 2026: first version.

CLAIMS

This build checks 365 claims against their sources and data files; wording I drafted for myself is marked until I approve it.

THE CLAIMS REGISTER · 365 CLAIMS
IdClaimStatusSourceChecked
ident.fromI'm from Andorra.OWN RECORDFIS athlete profile (nation AND, born 2005)2026-10-10
ident.baseBOSTON · FROM ANDORRAOWN RECORDOwn record (CV)2026-10-10
ident.languagesCatalan, Spanish, English, French and Italian.OWN RECORDOwn record, CV2026-10-10
card.nameMarcel Bartumeu RamentolVERIFIEDORCID record and Crossref (paper authorship)2026-10-10
card.originAndorra · born 2005VERIFIEDFIS athlete profile (year of birth only)2026-10-10
card.languagesCatalan, Spanish, English, French, ItalianOWN RECORDOwn record, CV2026-10-10
card.selfThe main word I would use to describe myself is technologistOWN RECORDMy branding reflection, March 2026 (own document)2026-10-10
card.buildsI create what doesn't exist, focusing on high-quality products.OWN RECORDeTower introduction slide, February 2024 (own document)2026-10-10
card.nowPart-time Research Support Associate on the Andorra project, City Science group, MIT Media Lab (since September 2026)OWN RECORDOwn record, CV; MIT Media Lab people page2026-10-10
card.studiesBabson College, BSBA, concentration in Technological Entrepreneurship, May 2027. Olin College of Engineering, General Engineering certifi…OWN RECORDOwn record, CV2026-10-10
card.homewithheldOWN RECORDWithheld by choice2026-10-10
mit.narrativeSince 2025 I have worked with the City Science group at the MIT Media Lab.OWN WORDINGMIT Media Lab people page; offer and visiting-student letters2026-10-10
mit.chipMIT MEDIA LAB · CITY SCIENCE · SINCE 2025VERIFIEDMIT Media Lab people page2026-10-10
mit.cvMIT Media Lab, City Science: visiting student researcher, July 2025 to July 2026, supervised by Kent Larson with Luis Alonso. Since Septe…OWN RECORDOwn record, CV; MIT Media Lab people page2026-10-10
mit.profileMIT Media Lab lists me as a researcher and student entrepreneur working with City Science, on the Andorra project.VERIFIEDMIT Media Lab people page and Andorra project page2026-10-10
mit.delegationI demonstrated the model live to an Andorran government delegation at the Media Lab in May 2026.OWN WORDINGOwn record; delegation visit, May 20262026-10-10
c00.line1Technologist from Andorra. I simulate countries and cities, and build the tables and panels people use to test decisions on them.OWN WORDINGMy branding reflection, March 2026 (the word technologist); my Media Lab application progress deck, slide 15 (the second sentence)2026-10-10
c00.thesisI simulate countries and cities, and build the tables and panels people use to test decisions on them.OWN WORDINGMy Media Lab application progress deck, slide 152026-10-10
c00.chip.authorFIRST AUTHOR · URBAN SCIENCE · 2026VERIFIEDCrossref and MIT DSpace record of the paper2026-10-10
c00.chip.founderFOUNDER · MEVOT (2021)OWN RECORDOwn record: Mevot brand May 20212026-10-10
c00.chip.baseBASED IN BOSTONOWN RECORDOwn record (still based in Boston)2026-10-10
c00.chip.fromFROM ANDORRAVERIFIEDFIS athlete profile2026-10-10
c00.titleMarcel Bartumeu RamentolVERIFIEDORCID record and Crossref (paper authorship)2026-10-10
c00.fall.kickerTHE FALL LINE · 23.5 KM · 2,846 M → 848 MDERIVED FROM DATASteepest descent computed on this site's Andorra grid (scripts/fall-line.mjs)2026-10-10
c00.fallThe fall line is the path water takes down a mountain, and the line I looked for through every course. This is the one on my grid of Ando…OWN WORDINGComputed on the grid; geography to check (QA 7.2 #27)2026-10-10
c01.kickerCITY SCIENCE · FROM 2015 TO TODAYOWN RECORDOwn record; MIT Media Lab article on the Andorra summit, October 20172026-10-10
c01.lead.2017I was eleven at the 2017 City Science Summit in Andorra. I had started working with the City Science group in 2015.OWN RECORDOwn record (owner directions 3 and 4); MIT Media Lab article on the summit, October 20172026-10-10
c01.body.2017The group had been working with Andorra since 2014. The country was its living lab: sensors in school classrooms, an interactive city tab…OWN WORDINGMIT Media Lab article, 13 October 20172026-10-10
c01.quote.2026Nine years later I am a researcher in that groupOWN RECORDMy competition pitch, slide 6 (own document)2026-10-10
c01.body.2026Today I work in that same group, on its Andorra project. I model the country I grew up in.OWN WORDINGOwn record, CV; MIT Media Lab people page2026-10-10
c01.years9 YEARSDERIVED FROM DATA2026 minus 20172026-10-10
c01.termites.contextIn 2016 the group put TerMITes sensors in classrooms of the Escola Andorrana, with 95 pupils aged 10 and 11.VERIFIEDMIT Media Lab article on the Escola Andorrana pilot, September 20162026-10-10
c01.termites.pupilAs a pupil in Andorra, I helped develop TerMITes, City Science's classroom sensors.OWN RECORDOwn record; my current website; Andorra Research + Innovation profile2026-10-10
c01.quote.admiredHaving admired the Media Lab from a young ageOWN RECORDMy motivation letter for the Media Lab visit (own document)2026-10-10
c01.inset.2017FAMILY ARCHIVE · CITY SCIENCE SUMMIT, ANDORRA · 14–15 SEP 2017OWN RECORDOwn photograph, already public on my site2026-10-10
c02.kickerBUILDING · FROM AGE TWELVEDERIVED FROM DATADates of the print files and photographs shown2026-10-10
c02.titleHands firstDERIVED FROM DATAChapter title2026-10-10
c02.quote.createI create what doesn't exist, focusing on high-quality products.OWN RECORDeTower introduction slide, February 2024 (own document)2026-10-10
c02.body.introI bought my first 3D printer at twelve and started making physical things. One of them was a climbing device with electromagnets, because…OWN RECORDOwn record; G-code file dates on my drive (file dates can be copy dates)2026-10-10
c02.s1.captionThe prototype was a school project, printed in two halves.OWN WORDINGOwn project folder, January 20202026-10-10
c02.s1.rcAt thirteen I built radio-controlled boats, cars and planes from scratch, and a device that did my laundry.OWN RECORDOwn record; my current website2026-10-10
c02.s1.masksIn the first COVID lockdown, at fourteen, my older brother and I made face masks, 3D-printed on my printer, and he delivered them (print …OWN RECORDG-code file MASK-European-Union-V2, 31 March 2020 (own file); my current website2026-10-10
c02.s1.pressDiari d'Andorra covered the masks. The article features my brother.VERIFIEDDiari d'Andorra: Material sanitari 3D2026-10-10
c02.s2.unityThat year I also wrote my first game in Unity, Space Cleaner, and put it on the App Store.OWN RECORDOwn record; my current website2026-10-10
c02.reconRECONSTRUCTION · APPROXIMATE 3D MODELDERIVED FROM DATAApproximate 3D reconstruction made for this site from my photographs and video; not a CAD file2026-10-10
c02.rc.titleAn F1 radio-controlled car with a 3D-printed body.OWN RECORDOwn record; my video and photograph of the car (owner direction, 12 Oct 2026)2026-10-10
c02.rc.bodyI printed the body and rear wing in green, fitted wide wheels, and put a brushless motor in it.OWN RECORDOwn record; my video and photograph of the car (owner direction, 12 Oct 2026)2026-10-10
c02.drone.titleA racing drone I built for FPV flying.OWN RECORDOwn record; my photographs of the drone (owner direction, 12 Oct 2026)2026-10-10
c02.rc.spec3D-PRINTED BODY · RED POWER B3650 · 3215 KV BRUSHLESSOWN RECORDOwn record (owner direction, 12 Oct 2026); photograph of the car2026-10-10
c02.drone.spec250 MM CARBON X FRAME · 5 IN PROPS · 2200 MAH 3S LIPOOWN RECORDOwn record (owner direction, 12 Oct 2026); photographs of the drone2026-10-10
c02.drone.bodyI built it on a 250-class carbon X frame: five-inch propellers, aluminium standoffs, silicone dampers, an FPV camera and a three-cell bat…OWN RECORDOwn record; my photographs of the drone (owner direction, 12 Oct 2026)2026-10-10
c02.s2.photoTHE FIRST BUILD · WELDED FRAMEOWN RECORDOwn photograph of the kart; no dated file, so no date is printed2026-10-10
c02.s2.titleA 30 hp electric go-kart, built at thirteen and fourteen.OWN RECORDOwn record (owner direction, 12 Oct 2026); photograph of the kart2026-10-10
c02.s2.specELECTRIC GO-KART · BUILT AT 13–14 · 30 HPOWN RECORDOwn record (owner direction, 12 Oct 2026)2026-10-10
c02.s2.bodyI designed it and welded the steel frame myself, in our basement, then fitted a motor, a chain drive and printed drivetrain parts.OWN RECORDOwn record; photograph of the kart; June 2020 print jobs2026-10-10
c02.s2.modelThe kart on screen is built from my own CAD model of it.OWN RECORDOwn CAD file MEVOT KART.stl2026-10-10
c02.s2.body2Years later I kept developing it: in 2023 and 2024 I designed and 3D-printed motor mounts, a brake disc and spacers for it. I raced karts…OWN RECORDOwn CAD and print files, 2023-24; Automòbil Club d'Andorra events2026-10-10
c02.s2.racingELECTRIC KART · 2020OWN RECORDOwn photograph of the kart, taken in 20202026-10-13
c02.s3.body1I started Mevot at fifteen, building electric longboards by hand and selling them. I designed the brand, the deck graphics, the packaging…OWN RECORDOwn Mevot archive; own record2026-10-10
c02.s3.quoteAfter creating my own e-board I realized there was a market to create and sell longboards to others.OWN RECORDMy earlier CV (own document)2026-10-10
c02.s3.body2The motors, controller and battery came from a supplier's platform. The brand, the deck graphics, the box and the manual were mine. Befor…OWN WORDINGOwn Mevot archive; supplier proforma; case study of 15 June 20242026-10-10
c02.s3.exitMevot grew to six figures in annual revenue. In 2025 I exited it through an agreement in which a manufacturing partner acquired part of M…OWN RECORDOwn record; my current website2026-10-10
c02.s3.taglinePesa poc. Arriba lluny.OWN RECORDMevot MK2 product description (own document)2026-10-10
mevot.bom.made.enclosurePrinted enclosures on the hand-built prototypes, 2021–2022; MEVOT BOX CARBON, 2024DERIVED FROM DATAOwn print files and prototype photographs2026-10-10
mevot.bom.made.modelMy CAD of the board (MK2)DERIVED FROM DATAOwn CAD file2026-10-10
mevot.bom.designed.deckDeck shape and graphics; production decks made by the supplierDERIVED FROM DATAOwn design files; supplier documents2026-10-10
mevot.bom.designed.brandBrand, die-cut box with GS1 barcode and FSC logo, manualDERIVED FROM DATAOwn packaging files2026-10-10
mevot.bom.designed.controllerController and charger industrial design (design intent)DERIVED FROM DATAOwn design files2026-10-10
mevot.bom.sourced.platformSupplier platform H2B-02: 2 × 450 W motorsDERIVED FROM DATASupplier specification sheet2026-10-10
mevot.bom.sourced.batteryBattery 36 V, 4,000 mAh, 144 Wh; UN 38.3 report issued to the battery supplierDERIVED FROM DATABattery supplier test report2026-10-10
c02.ev.gripBRAND ON GRIP TAPE · MAY 2021OWN RECORDPhotograph of 29 May 20212026-10-10
c02.ev.protoHAND-BUILT PROTOTYPES · 2022OWN RECORDPhotographs of April and June 20222026-10-10
c02.ev.caseBOOSTED CASE STUDY · 29 PP · JUN 2024OWN RECORDMy 29-page case study of 15 June 2024 (own document)2026-10-10
c02.ev.planLAUNCH PLAN: 100 UNITS, NO PAID PRE-ORDERSOWN RECORDMy launch plan, In-Stock First (own document)2026-10-10
c02.rc.lockDOOR LOCK · KEYPAD, SERVO, LCD · JAN 2023OWN RECORDOwn Arduino project files, 7 January 20232026-10-10
c02.rc.safeFINGERPRINT SAFE · APR 2024OWN RECORDBabson report of 20 April 2024 (own document)2026-10-10
c02.rc.gameSPACE CLEANER · FIRST UNITY GAME · APP STOREOWN RECORDOwn record; own Unity project files2026-10-10
c02.ev.apparelBACKEND ENGINEERING · APPAREL BRANDOWN RECORDOwn record; my current website2026-10-10
c03.kickerSKI RACING · VERMONT · BABSON · ETOWERDERIVED FROM DATAChapter 03 summary of the places and years below2026-10-10
c03.quote.competitionCompetition made me who I am. Sport taught me discipline, resilience, and perseverance.OWN RECORDOwn wording, given for the site on 17 Oct 2026; earlier form on my eTower introduction slide, February 2024 (own document)2026-10-10
c03.body.faeFrom the age of fifteen to eighteen, I competed at an elite level around the world as a member of the Andorran Ski Federation (FAE).OWN RECORDOwn record; Federació Andorrana d'Esquí team2026-10-10
c03.body.leftAt fifteen I left Andorra and moved alone to a ski academy in Vermont, two months after starting Mevot.OWN WORDINGGreen Mountain Valley School enrolment, August 2021; Mevot from May 20212026-10-10
c03.body.usThen Babson, with engineering at Olin. I raced two seasons for Babson's men's ski team, and from 2025 to 2026 I was President of eTower, …OWN RECORDBabson roster; eTower board report, spring 2026; own record2026-10-13
c03.quote.etowerBuild the Tower. Build the network. Get capital and resources to the founders doing the work.OWN RECORDeTower semester report, spring 2026 (own document)2026-10-10
c03.chip.gmvsGREEN MOUNTAIN VALLEY SCHOOL · 2021–2023VERIFIEDGreen Mountain Valley School enrolment2026-10-10
c03.chip.babsonBABSON MEN'S SKI TEAM · TWO SEASONSOWN RECORDOwn record; Babson athletics roster2026-10-13
c03.chip.etowerETOWER · FOUNDED 2001 · 21 RESIDENTSOWN RECORDeTower semester report, spring 20262026-10-10
c03.dot.1WAITSFIELD, VERMONT · 2021VERIFIEDGreen Mountain Valley School, Waitsfield, Vermont2026-10-10
c03.dot.2BABSON COLLEGE, MASSACHUSETTS · 2023VERIFIEDBabson College matriculation, fall 20232026-10-10
c03.dot.3MIT MEDIA LAB, CAMBRIDGE · 2025OWN RECORDMIT Media Lab City Science, visiting student researcher Jul 2025 – Jul 2026; RSA since Sep 20262026-10-10
model.figures_noteFigures use the corrected model run (updated September 2026), which supersedes some values in the published article; a formal correction …MODEL · CONDITIONALScenario engine, R3c corrected run, September 20262026-10-10
model.footerR3C CORRECTED RUN · FIGURES UPDATED SEPTEMBER 2026 · CONDITIONAL SCENARIOS, NOT FORECASTSMODEL · CONDITIONALScenario engine, R3c corrected run, September 20262026-10-10
model.pop202487,097MODEL · CONDITIONALOfficial statistics: resident population, 31 December 20242026-10-10
model.grid202482,456MODEL · CONDITIONALAndorra 12,474-cell grid, 2024 base2026-10-10
model.pop2049.continuity116,758MODEL · CONDITIONALScenario engine, R3c corrected run, September 20262026-10-10
model.pop2049.overgrowth175,070MODEL · CONDITIONALScenario engine, R3c corrected run, September 20262026-10-10
model.pop2049.degrowth72,268MODEL · CONDITIONALScenario engine, R3c corrected run, September 20262026-10-10
model.pop2049.density117,810MODEL · CONDITIONALScenario engine, R3c corrected run, September 20262026-10-10
model.rangeIn 2049 the population ranges from 72,268 (Degrowth) to 175,070 (Overgrowth); figures updated September 2026.MODEL · CONDITIONALScenario engine, R3c corrected run, September 20262026-10-10
model.driversContinuity grows GDP by 2.5% a year, Overgrowth by 6.0%, Degrowth shrinks it by 1.5% with an explicit migration restriction, and Density …MODEL · CONDITIONALScenario definitions in the R3c run2026-10-10
model.grid_vs_nationalThe grid's 2024 base is 82,456 residents; the national series says 87,097. The terrain shows where growth lands, the national series how …MODEL · CONDITIONAL12,474-cell grid and the official national series2026-10-10
model.correction_effectCorrecting the model moved three 2049 endpoints by under 4%, while Density rose 19% and now edges past Continuity.MODEL · CONDITIONALScenario engine, published run against the R3c corrected run2026-10-10
model.elasticityPopulation follows GDP through a lagged labor-immigration elasticity (0.40 at one year, 0.10 at two). 500 Monte Carlo draws. Outputs are …MODEL · CONDITIONALUrban Science 10(8):450 (2026), methods2026-10-10
model.backcastPopulation follows the economy through a lagged labor-immigration link. In the September 2026 update that choice back-casts population wo…MODEL · CONDITIONALScenario engine back-cast, R3c corrected run (updated September 2026)2026-10-10
model.signatureSignature numbersMODEL · CONDITIONALScenario engine, R3c corrected run, September 20262026-10-10
c04.kickerMY WORK AT THE MIT MEDIA LABOWN RECORDMIT Media Lab people page2026-10-10
c04.cardMy work at the MIT Media LabOWN RECORDMIT Media Lab people page2026-10-10
c04.card.subCITY SCIENCE GROUP · SINCE 2025VERIFIEDMIT Media Lab people page2026-10-10
c04.titleWhat if you could simulate a country 25 years into the future?OWN RECORDOwn wording (owner direction, 12 Oct 2026); the model runs 2024 to 20492026-10-10
c04.body.leftFour years after I left, I started to model it.OWN WORDINGLeft Andorra August 2021; City Science from summer 20252026-10-10
c04.quote.rollbackYou can't roll back a country.OWN RECORDMy vision document, July 2026, page 2 (own document)2026-10-10
c04.quote.rehearsalA budget, a tax reform, and a residency rule go straight onto a live population, with no rehearsal.OWN RECORDMy vision document, July 2026, page 2 (own document)2026-10-10
c04.body.engineSo I built a way to try them first. The Andorra Scenario Engine runs the country's economy, population, housing, tourism, energy and envi…OWN WORDINGUrban Science 10(8):450 (2026)2026-10-10
c04.methodPopulation follows the economy through a lagged labor-immigration link.MODEL · CONDITIONALUrban Science 10(8):450 (2026), methods2026-10-10
c04.quote.parishsmall enough that a national-scale model can be built by a small team, and consequential enough that the model can actually inform policyOWN RECORDMy onboarding document for an intern (own document)2026-10-10
c04.block.degrowthDegrowth needs an explicit migration restriction. No calibrated setting shrinks the population from economic decline alone.OWN WORDINGScenario definitions in the R3c run; backend summary2026-10-10
c04.interpCells between 2024 and 2049 are interpolated along each scenario's national curve; the grid stores 2024 and 2049.DERIVED FROM DATAHow this site draws the grid between its two stored years2026-10-10
c04.recordCell pattern from 2024; national total from official statistics.DERIVED FROM DATAHow this site draws years up to 20242026-10-10
c04.hud{{grid}} RESIDENTS MAPPED IN THE GRID · WHERE, NOT HOW MUCHDERIVED FROM DATAGrid totals and the national series of this site2026-10-10
c04.aria{{scenario}}, {{year}}: {{pop}} residents nationally; electricity {{elec}} GWh a year; hospital beds {{beds}} per 1,000 service population.DERIVED FROM DATAGenerated from the scenario series2026-10-10
c05.kickerTHE PEOPLE · A SYNTHETIC POPULATIONOWN WORDINGPopulation run P042026-10-10
c05.title90,000DERIVED FROM DATAPopulation run P04, frozen September 20262026-10-10
c05.quote.layerThis is the country-level layer. Underneath it are 90,000 synthetic residents.OWN RECORDCarousel slide 5, my own design2026-10-10
c05.quote.questionDoes making agents more human make a synthetic population behave more like the real one?OWN RECORDMy Media Lab application progress deck, slide 14 (own document)2026-10-10
c05.scopeA synthetic population at national scale: 90,000 agents for a country of about 87,000 people.DERIVED FROM DATAPopulation run P04 against the official register2026-10-10
c05.body.methodA language model wrote 123 archetypes, for $9.55 in total. Deterministic code did the rest: 90,000 people in 40,520 households, 575,405 s…OWN WORDINGRun metadata of population P04, frozen September 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
c05.tripsTRIPS · 313,527 A DAY · 99.75% ROUTED ON THE STREET NETWORK · FROZEN RUN, SEP 2026DERIVED FROM DATARun metadata of population P09, September 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
c05.guessBefore I show you anything: Andorra gets about 9.6 million visitors a year. What share of its residents name tourism among the country's …OWN WORDINGVisitors per year, 2024 (tourists and day-trippers), R3c series2026-10-10
c05.reveal81% of my first synthetic population did. 1% of real residents did. I wrote it up as a fail.OWN WORDINGRound 1 findings, July 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
c05.reveal.incharacterAnswering in character, 21% of my first synthetic population still did, against 1% of real residents.OWN WORDINGRound 1 findings, July 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
c05.quote.faithfulThe population was demographically faithful and attitudinally wrong.OWN RECORDMy independent research proposal, part II (own document)2026-10-10
c05.round2The second test was pre-specified and hash-locked in my repository before a single run, an internal pre-registration. I ran it once, on 8…OWN WORDINGRound 2 findings, 8 September 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
c05.renameThen I renamed the country.OWN WORDINGAnonymised-country control, Round 22026-10-10
c05.rename.afterResults moved by less than 0.11 standard deviations.OWN WORDINGAnonymised-country control, Round 2 findings (own repository)2026-10-10
c05.rename.controlA twin population with Andorra's names removed reproduced the results, so the fit and the misfit travel with the generated profile, not w…OWN WORDINGAnonymised-country control, Round 2 findings (own repository)2026-10-10
c05.quote.recognisingThe model recognising 'Andorra' therefore explains neither the housing fit nor the economic misfit.OWN RECORDRound 2 findings, section 4.4 (own repository)2026-10-10
c05.quote.honestThe honest answer to the question at the top is still partly no – structure transfers and dispositions do not yet.OWN RECORDSpeaker notes of my progress deck, slide 14 (own document)2026-10-10
c05.credit.behaviorBEHAVIOR LAYER: h-ABM, CITY SCIENCE TEAM · SOURCEDVERIFIEDCity Science h-ABM preprint (TechRxiv), Mora, Atchade-Adelomou, Alonso-Pastor et al.2026-10-10
c05.credit.madePOPULATION, COUPLING, VALIDATION · MADEOWN RECORDMy repository history (three coupling commits, 11-15 August 2026)2026-10-10
c05.trips.captionA sample of 5,239 routed synthetic trips · frozen run, Sep 2026 · not real peopleDERIVED FROM DATApublic/data/agent-trips.json (sampling.sampled_trips); the card builds this line from the file2026-10-10
c05.trips.osmStreet geometry © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL)DERIVED FROM DATApublic/data/agent-trips.json and roads.json attribution2026-10-10
c05.chip.wpIN PREPARATION · SYNTHETIC AGENT GENERATION PIPELINEOWN RECORDPaper in preparation, working title (owner direction, 12 October 2026)2026-10-10
c05.chip.telecomIN PREPARATION · MOBILITY VALIDATION AGAINST TELECOM DATA · COMPARISON NOT YET RUNOWN RECORDPaper in preparation, working title (owner direction, 12 October 2026); draft telecom data request, not sent (own document)2026-10-10
c05.chip.surveyIN PREPARATION · PUBLIC OPINION VALIDATION AGAINST SURVEYSOWN RECORDPaper in preparation, working title (owner direction, 12 October 2026); Round 1 and Round 2 findings (own repository)2026-10-10
c05.quote.licensesEvery generated field carries one of four evidence licenses, so an assumption cannot be read downstream as a measurement.OWN RECORDSentence from my unsubmitted method draft (own document)2026-10-10
c05.block.constructsOnly four constructs in the whole schema can be checked against real surveys at all. The synthetic unemployment rate is 9.63%; the offici…OWN WORDINGValidation schema and unemployment check, Round 2 (own repository)2026-10-10
c06.kickerROUND 2 · WHERE I'M WRONGOWN WORDINGRound 2 findings, 8 September 20262026-10-10
c06.quote.negativeA negative result that is correctly measured is a contribution. A positive result that is a measurement artifact is a liability.OWN RECORDMy onboarding document for an intern (own document)2026-10-10
c06.body.racingIn racing, a missed gate is on the record and everyone sees it. I keep my research the same way.OWN WORDINGRound 2 findings and Round 1 write-up2026-10-10
c06.slalomROUND 2 · 24 ITEMS · 5 PASSED · 12 MISSED (6 NOT EQUIVALENT, 6 OUTSIDE POLICY TOLERANCE) · 7 NOT SCORED (1 INCONCLUSIVE, 4 DESCRIPTIVE ON…DERIVED FROM DATARound 2 scorecard, 8 September 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
c06.verdictsRound 2 by verdict classDERIVED FROM DATARound 2 scorecard, 8 September 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
c06.quote.frozenNo verdict rule, prompt, model, matching or population parameter was changed after seeing any result.OWN RECORDRound 2 findings (own repository)2026-10-10
c06.replay.1JUL 2026 · MY OWN ENGINEOWN WORDINGEngine audit, July 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
c06.replay.2JUL 2026 · ROUND 1OWN WORDINGRound 1 findings, July 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
c06.replay.3JUN–JUL 2026 · PEER REVIEWOWN WORDINGReview correspondence and the published abstract2026-10-10
c06.replay.48 SEP 2026 · ROUND 2OWN WORDINGRound 2 scorecard, 8 September 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
c07.kickerELSEWHERE · SAME PIPELINE, OTHER PLACESOWN WORDINGPipeline repositories2026-10-10
c07.headline.defaultThe pipeline is built to move.OWN WORDINGPipeline repositories2026-10-10
c07.headline.d4I ran the same pipeline on the Media Lab's own neighborhood.OWN WORDINGKendall Square world README, frozen commit e94f175 (private repository)2026-10-13
c07.quote.packAdding another place requires a new pack and compatible assets, not an engine fork.OWN RECORDREADME of my coupling repository (private)2026-10-10
c07.kendall.bodyPointed at Kendall Square, the same code built 118,403 residents in 564 populated cells of Cambridge, and 141,368 inbound commuters, with…OWN WORDINGKendall Square world README and held-out benchmark v2, frozen commit e94f175 (private repository); public/data/kendall-cells.json facts and totals2026-10-13
c07.kendall.syntheticEvery one of them is synthetic. The map shows how many live in each cell, never a person.OWN RECORDpublic/data/kendall-cells.json (resident counts per H3 cell only)2026-10-13
c07.trips.labelTRIPS · TIER 3.1 DEMO EXPORT · EXPERIMENTAL, NOT ADOPTEDDERIVED FROM DATAKendall Square world docs/TIER3.1_DEMO.md ('Status: experimental, not adopted'); public/data/kendall-trips.json label2026-10-13
c07.kendall.creditsMAP DATA · OPENSTREETMAP (ODBL) · MBTA GTFS · U.S. CENSUSDERIVED FROM DATAAttribution strings of public/data/kendall-cells.json, kendall-trips.json and kendall-transit.json2026-10-13
c07.quote.hiddenThe model's own knowledge of a named city is a hidden input.OWN RECORDHOW_WE_BUILT_IT (own repository)2026-10-10
c07.quote.interceptsFitting intercepts moves the miss, it does not remove it.OWN RECORDHOW_WE_BUILT_IT, section 8 (own repository)2026-10-10
c07.chip.walkWALKED WORK LEGS · 9.6% VS 28.2% (CENSUS)DERIVED FROM DATAKendall Square world README (private repository)2026-10-13
c07.chip.tierTIER 3.1 · NOT ADOPTED (ONE METRIC WORSENED)DERIVED FROM DATAKendall Square world README (private repository)2026-10-13
c07.concepcionCONCEPCIÓN, CHILE · SCOPED · NOT GENERATEDOWN RECORDConcepción world dry run; paid step not run (own repository)2026-10-10
c07.concepcion.bodyA third place is in progress. Its population has not been generated.OWN WORDINGConcepción world dry run (own repository)2026-10-10
c07.sfIn a week in May 2026 I also measured San Francisco's lots: 63,119 of 189,636 residential-zoned lots fit the small-lot band that single-s…OWN WORDINGSF small-lot explorer, public repository2026-10-10
c08.kickerTHE DEMONSTRATION · TABLE, SCREENS, PANELOWN WORDINGChapter 08 summary of the installation (owner directions 4)2026-10-10
c08.quote.demosDemos are arguments.OWN RECORDMy internship reflection (own document)2026-10-10
c08.quote.ministerA minister doesn't care about your RMSE. A 3D-printed terrain model they can walk up to changes the conversation entirely.OWN RECORDMy internship reflection (own document)2026-10-10
c08.bodyA model on a laptop is read by one person at a time. I built this one to be stood around: a terrain model of Andorra with the scenarios p…OWN WORDINGOwn project notes on the physical table; my photographs of the demonstration, 1 May 20262026-10-10
c08.visitOn 1 May 2026 a delegation from Andorra's government came to the Media Lab. I ran the model for them live, at this table, with the panel …OWN WORDINGOwn record; photographs of the visit, 1 May 2026 (credit: gbila)2026-10-10
c08.panelThe panel is one part of it, and you have been using it. In November 2025 it was an Arduino with four buttons and one potentiometer. By A…OWN WORDINGFirmware ScenarioSlider.ino v1.4 and its earlier sketch2026-10-10
c08.quote.translationThe hardest work is translation.OWN RECORDMy internship reflection (own document)2026-10-10
c08.tableThe terrain model is about 1.2 meters square, with the dashboard projected onto it and calibrated to four corner coordinates.OWN WORDINGOwn project notes on the physical table2026-10-10
c08.captionPROJECTION-MAPPED TERRAIN MODEL OF ANDORRA · 22 APR 2026OWN RECORDMy photograph of the lit terrain table, 22 April 20262026-10-10
c08.partsThe panel cost $109.18 in parts and was built for the delegation visit.OWN WORDINGMy parts receipts for the panel2026-10-10
c08.spec.encoders2× EC11 ROTARY ENCODER WITH PUSHDERIVED FROM DATAFirmware ScenarioSlider.ino v1.4 header2026-10-10
c08.spec.faders2× 10K SLIDE POT · YEAR 2010–2049 · ZOOM STREET → COUNTRYDERIVED FROM DATAFirmware ScenarioSlider.ino v1.4 header2026-10-10
c08.spec.buttons6× PUSH BUTTON · TABSDERIVED FROM DATAFirmware ScenarioSlider.ino v1.4 header2026-10-10
c08.spec.toggles5× TOGGLE · SCENARIO OVERLAYSDERIVED FROM DATAFirmware ScenarioSlider.ino v1.4 header2026-10-10
c08.spec.megaATMEGA2560 CONTROLLER · 16 MHZDERIVED FROM DATAFirmware ScenarioSlider.ino v1.4 header2026-10-10
c08.spec.baudJSON · 115,200 BAUDDERIVED FROM DATAFirmware ScenarioSlider.ino v1.4 header2026-10-10
c08.protocol{"type":"status","value":"ready"} heartbeat at start and every 5 s {"type":"year","value":2027} A0, 2010-2049, only on integer change {"t…DERIVED FROM DATAFirmware ScenarioSlider.ino v1.4, 115,200 baud over Web Serial2026-10-10
c10.kickerNOW · AS OF 18 October 2026DERIVED FROM DATABuild date of this page2026-10-10
c10.headlineEverything above this line happened. Everything below it is a model.OWN WORDINGThe record and model rule of this site2026-10-10
c10.captionR3C CORRECTED RUN · FIGURES UPDATED SEPTEMBER 2026 · CONDITIONAL SCENARIOS, NOT FORECASTSMODEL · CONDITIONALScenario engine, R3c corrected run, September 20262026-10-10
c10.board.header2024 → 2049 · {{scenario}}DERIVED FROM DATAGenerated from the scenario series2026-10-10
c10.line.aria{{scenario}}: 2049 population {{n}}DERIVED FROM DATAGenerated from the scenario series2026-10-10
c10.afterNone of these lines is a forecast. They are there so a country can argue about which one it wants before it is on it.OWN WORDINGThe record and model rule of this site2026-10-10
c10.sectionWHAT I WANT TO TEST NEXT · DRAFT · TO BE PRE-REGISTEREDOWN WORDINGcontent/prereg.md2026-10-10
c10.q1Do dispositions grounded in local survey data reproduce how residents rank their country's concerns in a second place, without retuning?OWN WORDINGRound 2 issue-rank result and the second-place pipeline2026-10-10
c10.q2Can trips derived only from profiles, census, streets and timetables come within a pre-declared tolerance of held-out phone data?OWN WORDINGTelecom protocol (drafted, request not sent)2026-10-10
c10.q3Does operating a simulation together, on a physical table, change how a group reasons about a policy, compared with reading the same resu…OWN WORDINGMy own stated belief that demos are arguments2026-10-10
c10.hashsha256 54ec8e42 · DEPOSIT: NOT YETDERIVED FROM DATASHA-256 of content/prereg.md, computed at build2026-10-10
c10.quote.applyApplying to the MIT Media Lab master's programme to keep building synthetic societies.OWN RECORDMy Media Lab application progress deck, slide 15 (own document)2026-10-10
c10.quote.toolsbuilding tools that help imagine and test better futures, and then helping turn the best ideas into realityOWN RECORDMy fall 2025 reflection (own document)2026-10-10
c10.landingMIT MEDIA LAB · CAMBRIDGEDERIVED FROM DATAMIT Media Lab2026-10-10
c11.researchCity Science, MIT Media Lab. Supervision: Kent Larson, with Luis Alonso.VERIFIEDMIT visiting-student letters2026-10-10
c11.paperMarcel Bartumeu Ramentol, Parfait Atchade-Adelomou, Adrian Mora-Carrero, Kent Larson, Luis Alonso-Pastor, Marta Domenech (Andorra Researc…VERIFIEDUrban Science 10(8):450 (2026), author list2026-10-10
c11.habmCity Science team (TechRxiv preprint: Mora, Atchade-Adelomou, Alonso-Pastor et al.). My part: the coupling, identification checks and out…VERIFIEDh-ABM preprint (TechRxiv); my coupling commits, August 20262026-10-10
c11.partnerAndorra Research + Innovation.VERIFIEDUrban Science 10(8):450 (2026), affiliations2026-10-10
c11.dataOfficial Andorran statistics and inventories (Departament d'Estadística and the other sources cited per series in the source drawer), Obs…VERIFIEDSource strings of scenarios.json; survey data agreement2026-10-10
c11.mapsStreet geometry © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL). Globe land: Natural Earth 1:110m (public domain). Globe idea after Three.js Interact…DERIVED FROM DATApublic/data/agent-trips.json and roads.json attribution; Natural Earth terms of use2026-10-10
c11.kendallA synthetic population of the City of Cambridge, Massachusetts, which I built in 2026; every person in it is fictional. Census geography:…DERIVED FROM DATAAttribution strings of public/data/kendall-cells.json, kendall-trips.json and kendall-transit.json2026-10-13
c11.siteDesign and code: Marcel Bartumeu Ramentol. Type: the system's SF Pro where the device has it, otherwise Inter; Syne and Instrument Serif …OWN RECORDFont licences and library notices2026-10-10
c11.colophonThe colophon, the changelog and the claims count are on the credits page.DERIVED FROM DATAThis site2026-10-10
contact.emailmarcelbr@mit.eduOWN RECORDMy MIT address, shown on my current site2026-10-10
contact.email2marcel@bartumeu.comOWN RECORDMy personal address, on my CV2026-10-10
contact.githubgithub.com/marcelbartumeuVERIFIEDGitHub profile2026-10-10
contact.orcidORCID 0009-0005-9195-8787VERIFIEDORCID record2026-10-10
contact.mitmedia.mit.edu/people/marcelbrVERIFIEDMIT Media Lab people page2026-10-10
work.about.2Since 2025 I have worked with the City Science group at the MIT Media Lab, and I am first author of The Andorra Scenario Engine (Urban Sc…OWN WORDINGMIT Media Lab people page; Crossref record of the paper2026-10-10
work.about.2cI am first author of The Andorra Scenario Engine (Urban Science, 2026), published in August 2026.OWN WORDINGCrossref and MIT DSpace record of the paper2026-10-10
work.about.3I built a synthetic population of 90,000 people for my country, and the projection and Arduino control panel for a terrain table of Andorra.OWN WORDINGPopulation run P04; own panel firmware2026-10-10
work.about.4Before that I built things: radio-controlled boats, cars and planes, an electric car at fourteen, and Mevot, an electric-longboard compan…OWN RECORDOwn print files, kart photographs, Mevot archive2026-10-10
work.about.5I study at Babson College and Olin College. I race alpine skiing for Andorra (FIS-licensed), raced two seasons for Babson's men's ski tea…OWN RECORDFIS profile; Babson roster; eTower board report2026-10-13
start.1.abstractFour conditional futures for Andorra to 2049, calibrated on fifteen years of official statistics. I am the first of six authors.OWN WORDINGUrban Science 10(8):450 (2026)2026-10-10
start.2.abstractA synthetic Andorra of 90,000 people, tested against real surveys twice. Round 1 failed and Round 2 missed 12 of 24 items; both are repor…OWN WORDINGRound 1 and Round 2 findings (own repository)2026-10-10
start.3.abstractA projection-mapped terrain model of Andorra and the Arduino panel that drives it, built for a government delegation's visit.OWN WORDINGOwn project notes and parts receipts2026-10-10
start.2.chip.hashROUND 2 HASH-LOCKED BEFORE RUNOWN RECORDRound 2 specification and its hash (own repository)2026-10-10
start.2.chip.missesMISSES REPORTEDOWN RECORDRound 1 and Round 2 findings (own repository)2026-10-10
start.3.chip.hwHARDWARE V1.4 · APR 2026DERIVED FROM DATAFirmware ScenarioSlider.ino v1.42026-10-10
pub.1Bartumeu Ramentol, M.; Atchade-Adelomou, P.; Mora-Carrero, A.; Larson, K.; Alonso-Pastor, L.; Domenech, M. The Andorra Scenario Engine: A…VERIFIEDUrban Science 10(8):450, published 5 August 20262026-10-10
pub.1.publishedPUBLISHED 5 AUG 2026VERIFIEDCrossref, MIT DSpace and ORCID records2026-10-10
pub.1.firstFIRST AND CORRESPONDING AUTHOR (1 OF 6)VERIFIEDUrban Science author list2026-10-10
pub.1.oaOPEN ACCESS, CC BY 4.0VERIFIEDCrossref licence record; MIT DSpace2026-10-10
pub.1.issueURBAN SCIENCE 10(8):450VERIFIEDUrban Science 10(8):4502026-10-10
pub.1.zenodoCODE ARCHIVE (V1.0, MAY 2026, THE SUBMITTED VERSION)VERIFIEDZenodo archive 10.5281/zenodo.202250942026-10-10
pub.prep.pipelineSynthetic Agent Generation Pipeline (working title): the methodology and architecture for generating realistic synthetic populations.OWN RECORDPaper in preparation, working title (owner direction, 12 October 2026); not submitted2026-10-10
pub.prep.mobilityMobility Validation Against Telecom Data (working title): validating simulated agent movements against real-world telecommunications data…OWN RECORDPaper in preparation, working title (owner direction, 12 October 2026); not submitted2026-10-10
pub.prep.opinionPublic Opinion Validation Against Surveys (working title): comparing synthetic agents' opinions and responses against actual survey data.…OWN RECORDPaper in preparation, working title (owner direction, 12 October 2026); Round 1 and Round 2 findings (own repository)2026-10-10
pub.prep.statusIN PREPARATIONOWN RECORDPaper in preparation, working title (owner direction, 12 October 2026); not submitted2026-10-10
pub.prep.mobility.statusCOMPARISON NOT YET RUNOWN RECORDPaper in preparation, working title (owner direction, 12 October 2026)2026-10-10
pub.3Catalan translation of the paper, built on a 455-entry Termcat and IEC glossary. Unpublished.OWN RECORDMy translation glossary (own document)2026-10-10
press.1Diari d'Andorra, 27 September 2026: Imaginant l'Andorra del futur. The feature reports the published version.VERIFIEDDiari d'Andorra, 27 September 20262026-10-10
press.2Andorra Research + Innovation presented the work publicly in September 2026.VERIFIEDAndorra Research + Innovation announcement2026-10-10
cv.edu.babsonBabson College, BSBA, concentration in Technological Entrepreneurship; graduating May 2027.OWN RECORDOwn record, CV2026-10-10
cv.edu.olinOlin College of Engineering, General Engineering certificate (in progress); coursework includes Modeling and Simulation.OWN RECORDOwn record, CV2026-10-10
cv.edu.gmvsGreen Mountain Valley School, Vermont, a ski academy: high school diploma, 2021–2023. I moved there alone at 15.OWN RECORDOwn record, CV; school enrolment2026-10-10
cv.edu.escolaEscola Andorrana, Ordino, 2017–2021.OWN RECORDOwn record, CV2026-10-10
cv.research.babsonBabson independent research on the Andorra model, advised by Ken Accardi, 2026.OWN RECORDBabson independent research record2026-10-10
cv.ventures.mevotMevot: started at 15; built and sold electric longboards under my own brand; grew to six figures in annual revenue; exited in 2025 throug…OWN RECORDOwn Mevot archive; own record2026-10-10
cv.ventures.apparelHelped on the backend of a clothing brand doing over seven figures in ARR.OWN RECORDOwn record; my current website2026-10-10
cv.ventures.frameFrame Creators: an extreme-sports film studio I co-founded with my brother (film archive 2015–2024).OWN RECORDOwn record, CV2026-10-10
cv.leadershipeTower, Babson's founder community: President for one year (2025–26), now Advisor.OWN RECORDeTower board report, spring 2026; Babson page2026-10-10
cv.athleticsAndorran Ski Federation team (FAE) from 15 to 18. FIS-licensed alpine racer for Andorra; two seasons on Babson's men's ski team. Skied 10…OWN RECORDFIS athlete profile; Babson roster; own record2026-10-13
cv.toolsPython; JavaScript and React; Arduino; system dynamics and agent-based modeling; Blender, Fusion 360, Shapr3D; FDM printing; DaVinci Reso…OWN RECORDOwn record, CV2026-10-10
about.portraitCAMBRIDGE, MA · 24 JUL 2025OWN RECORDMy own photograph2026-10-10
about.cardThe real oneOWN RECORDFields of my own card, each with its own source2026-10-10
ase.problemNational plans are built from indicator trajectories with no mechanism a decision-maker can pull, and a small country cannot learn from a…OWN WORDINGUrban Science 10(8):450, introduction2026-10-10
ase.questionCan a small team build a data-grounded, auditable national model that compares conditional futures instead of predicting one?OWN WORDINGUrban Science 10(8):450, abstract2026-10-10
ase.calibrationThe model is calibrated on official statistics from 2010 to 2024 and run to 2049 under four scenarios.OWN WORDINGUrban Science 10(8):450, methods2026-10-10
ase.statusPublished 5 August 2026. Conditional scenarios, not forecasts.OWN WORDINGUrban Science 10(8):4502026-10-10
ase.roleAs listed in the publisher's Author Contributions, I did the conceptualization (with Kent Larson), methodology (with Luis Alonso-Pastor),…VERIFIEDUrban Science 10(8):450, Author Contributions2026-10-10
sp.problemA scenario engine has no people in it, and policies land on people who support, reject or adapt to them.OWN WORDINGMy Catalan pitch, February 20262026-10-10
sp.systemA language model writes 123 archetypes ($9.55 in total); deterministic code expands them into 90,000 people (76,321 adults, 13,679 childr…OWN WORDINGRun metadata of populations P04 and P09, frozen September 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
sp.ev.householdsHousehold structure matches the official register (band TVD 0.0043).OWN WORDINGHousehold reconciliation against the official register (own repository)2026-10-10
sp.ev.overallAcross all items, 12 of 24 missed.OWN WORDINGRound 2 scorecard, 8 September 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
sp.limits.telecomMobility is unvalidated: a telecom-based validation protocol is drafted, the data request has not been sent, and the comparison has not b…OWN RECORDDraft telecom data request, not sent (own document)2026-10-10
sp.roleI designed the pipeline, the validation harness, the pre-specifications and the coupling contracts.OWN RECORDOwn record; repository history2026-10-10
sp.credits.surveySurvey data: Observatori d'Andorra, aggregates only. Supervision: Kent Larson, Luis Alonso.VERIFIEDSurvey data agreement; MIT visiting-student letters2026-10-10
tp.quoteA minister doesn't care about your RMSE.OWN RECORDMy internship reflection (own document)2026-10-10
tp.questionCan a national model be operated by hand, in a room, by the people who decide?OWN WORDINGMy statement that demos are arguments2026-10-10
tp.systemA terrain model of Andorra (about 1.2 m square) with the dashboard projected onto it, calibrated to four corner coordinates and masked ou…OWN WORDINGOwn project notes; firmware ScenarioSlider.ino v1.42026-10-10
tp.evidenceThis site speaks the panel's own protocol: plug a real panel into a laptop and it drives the whole page.OWN WORDINGFirmware ScenarioSlider.ino v1.4; this site's bus2026-10-10
tp.limitsBuilt and shown to a delegation in May 2026. The table size is approximate, and the panel is a prototype at hardware version 1.4, not a p…OWN WORDINGOwn project notes2026-10-10
tp.roleI designed, wired and programmed the panel, and built the projector view and the dual-screen sync.OWN WORDINGOwn repository and firmware2026-10-10
tp.creditsThe tangible-table tradition is City Science's (CityScope); the 2017 CityScope Andorra table was the group's.VERIFIEDMIT Media Lab article, October 20172026-10-10
sf.problemSingle-stair code reform would make small lots buildable for small apartment buildings. How many lots qualify?OWN WORDINGSF small-lot explorer README2026-10-10
sf.systemThe minimum rotated rectangle of every parcel in the San Francisco Assessor map (about 226,000 parcels), in US feet; an interactive Leafl…OWN WORDINGSF small-lot explorer README2026-10-10
sf.ev.sf29,701 (15.7%) ideal-band and 63,119 (33.3%) flexible-band lots out of 189,636 residential-zoned lots.DERIVED FROM DATASF small-lot explorer README2026-10-10
sf.ev.culverIn Culver City only 14 of 7,401 residential parcels (0.2%) fall in the flexible band.DERIVED FROM DATASF small-lot explorer Culver City report2026-10-10
sf.limitsThe counts are a geometric upper bound.OWN WORDINGSF small-lot explorer README2026-10-10
sf.roleI wrote the analysis and the viewer; the first version took a week in May 2026.OWN WORDINGSF small-lot explorer repository history2026-10-10
sf.chip.liveLIVEVERIFIEDSF small-lot explorer, live map2026-10-10
sf.chip.codePUBLIC CODEVERIFIEDGitHub repository2026-10-10
sf.chip.datesMAY–JUN 2026VERIFIEDRepository history2026-10-10
mevot.chip.foundedFOUNDED 2021OWN RECORDBrand on grip tape, 29 May 2021; my earlier CV2026-10-10
mevot.chip.exitEXITED 2025OWN RECORDOwn record2026-10-10
mevot.evidenceA 29-page case study of how Boosted Boards collapsed (June 2024); a launch plan for a 100-unit first batch with no paid pre-orders.OWN RECORDMy case study of 15 June 2024 and my launch plan (own documents)2026-10-10
making.printerMy first 3D printer, bought at twelve.OWN RECORDOwn record; my current website2026-10-10
making.rcRadio-controlled boats, cars and planes built from scratch, and an automated device for my laundry.OWN RECORDOwn record; my current website2026-10-10
making.climbA climbing-device prototype with electromagnets, the Spider-Man dream, printed in two halves.OWN WORDINGG-code headers and project photographs2026-10-10
making.masksDuring the first COVID lockdown, at 14, my older brother and I made face masks, 3D-printed on my printer (print files from 31 March 2020)…OWN RECORDG-code file MASK-European-Union-V2, 31 March 2020 (own file)2026-10-10
making.kartA 30 hp electric go-kart, built in our basement: a welded steel frame, a motor, a chain drive and printed drivetrain parts.OWN RECORDOwn record (owner direction, 12 Oct 2026); June 2020 print jobs2026-10-10
making.pressDiari d'Andorra covered the masks. The article features my brother.VERIFIEDDiari d'Andorra: Material sanitari 3D2026-10-10
making.unityI built my first game in Unity, Space Cleaner, and put it on the App Store.OWN RECORDOwn record; own Unity project files2026-10-10
making.gmvsAt Green Mountain Valley School: an iPad stand and a cardboard chair that held 200 lb.OWN RECORDOwn engineering class files2026-10-10
making.arduinoAn Arduino door lock with keypad, servo and LCD, and a temperature alarm.OWN RECORDOwn Arduino project files, 7 and 13 January 20232026-10-10
making.safeA fingerprint safe.OWN RECORDBabson report of 20 April 2024 (own document)2026-10-10
making.racingMotor mounts, a brake disc and spacers for the kart, designed and printed; racing in karts and Andorran hill-climbs.OWN RECORDOwn CAD and print files; Automòbil Club d'Andorra events2026-10-10
making.apparelHelped on the backend of a clothing brand doing over seven figures in ARR.OWN RECORDOwn record; my current website2026-10-10
etower.chip.presPRESIDENT · 2025–26OWN RECORDeTower board report, spring 20262026-10-10
etower.chip.advNOW ADVISORVERIFIEDBabson eTower page, 10 October 20262026-10-10
etower.introI was President of eTower, Babson's founder community, for one year (2025–26), and I remain its Advisor. The house was founded in 2001 an…OWN RECORDeTower board report, spring 20262026-10-10
etower.ev.opsA new VP of associates and an OKR system; The Pitch and Megaphone initiatives with Babson's president.OWN RECORDeTower board report, spring 20262026-10-10
etower.ev.betaIn spring 2026 every Babson Beta Challenge finalist was an eTower resident; the wins are theirs.OWN RECORDeTower board report, spring 20262026-10-10
wrong.introEvery model here misses somewhere. These are the misses I know about, with their numbers.OWN WORDINGRound 1, Round 2 and audit findings (own repository)2026-10-10
wrong.r1Tourism as a top-three concern: 81% of agents against 1% of residents (July 2026).DERIVED FROM DATARound 1 findings, July 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
wrong.r2Round 2 equivalence: 12 of 24 items missed (8 September 2026).DERIVED FROM DATARound 2 scorecard, 8 September 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
wrong.r3Economic self-assessment: 6 of 6 items missed against a survey of 750 respondents (8 September 2026).DERIVED FROM DATARound 2 findings, ECONOMIA survey block (own repository)2026-10-10
wrong.r4Unemployment: 9.63% synthetic against 2.0% official (2026).DERIVED FROM DATAValidation schema and unemployment check (own repository)2026-10-10
wrong.r5Population back-cast: 5.5% error against 1.7% for a linear trend (September 2026 update).DERIVED FROM DATAScenario engine back-cast, R3c corrected run2026-10-10
wrong.r6Engine wiring: four scenarios ran one branch, and p10 equalled p50 equalled p90 (July 2026).DERIVED FROM DATAEngine audit, July 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
wrong.r7Digital twin in the title: a reviewer called it an overclaim (June to July 2026).DERIVED FROM DATAPeer review of the paper2026-10-10
wrong.r8Kendall Square: the reference run misses the work-leg mode split by 29.4 points against the census.DERIVED FROM DATAKendall Square world README and held-out benchmark v2 (tier2, the reference arm), frozen commit e94f175 (private repository)2026-10-13
wrong.r9Kendall Square: 9.6% of work legs walked against 28.2% in the census.DERIVED FROM DATAKendall Square world README (tier2, the reference arm), frozen commit e94f175 (private repository)2026-10-13
wrong.r10Kendall Square tier 3.1 (timetabled transit): the work-leg mode split miss grew from 29.41 to 30.11 points, so it was not adopted.DERIVED FROM DATAKendall Square world README and docs/TIER3.1_DEMO.md, frozen commit e94f175 (private repository)2026-10-13
wrong.r11Andorra mobility: unvalidated, telecom protocol drafted, request not sent.DERIVED FROM DATADraft telecom data request, not sent (own document)2026-10-10
credits.colophonType: the system's SF Pro where the device has it, otherwise Inter; Syne and Instrument Serif (both SIL OFL, self-hosted). Built with thr…DERIVED FROM DATAFont and library licences2026-10-10
credits.changelogv1.0, built 18 October 2026: first version.DERIVED FROM DATAThis site's build2026-10-10
credits.claimsThis build checks 365 claims against their sources and data files; wording I drafted for myself is marked until I approve it.DERIVED FROM DATAThis site's claims register2026-10-10
footer.linev1.0 · built 2026-10-18 · commit 7405113 · 365 claims checked · model figures updated September 2026DERIVED FROM DATAThis site's build2026-10-10
seo.titleMarcel Bartumeu RamentolDERIVED FROM DATAPage title2026-10-10
seo.descriptionTechnologist from Andorra, based in Boston. Works with City Science at the MIT Media Lab and is first author of The Andorra Scenario Engi…OWN WORDINGMIT Media Lab people page; Crossref record of the paper2026-10-10
seo.workThe index to Marcel Bartumeu Ramentol's work: research on national scenario models and synthetic populations, hardware, and ventures, eac…OWN WORDINGThis site2026-10-10
seo.wrongWhere I'm wrong: every miss in my research that I know about, with its numbers, what I did about it, and its status.OWN WORDINGThis site2026-10-10
seo.aboutAbout Marcel Bartumeu Ramentol, from Andorra: research with MIT Media Lab City Science, building, and racing.OWN WORDINGThis site2026-10-10
seo.creditsCredits, sources, colophon and changelog for the portfolio of Marcel Bartumeu Ramentol.OWN WORDINGThis site2026-10-10
tour.0Marcel Bartumeu Ramentol. Technologist from Andorra, based in Boston, with City Science at the MIT Media Lab.OWN WORDINGChapter 002026-10-10
tour.12017: at 11, I was at the City Science Summit in Andorra. Today I work in that group, at MIT.OWN WORDINGChapter 012026-10-10
tour.2Four futures to 2049. Under Overgrowth, electricity demand doubles and hospital beds per 1,000 people served nearly halve.MODEL · CONDITIONALScenario engine, R3c corrected run (570 to 1,146 GWh; 1.35 to 0.69 beds)2026-10-10
tour.3My first synthetic population: 81% ranked tourism in their top three. Real residents: 1%. I wrote it up as a fail.OWN WORDINGRound 1 findings, July 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
tour.4The second test was pre-specified and run once. 12 of 24 gates missed, on the record.OWN WORDINGRound 2 scorecard, 8 September 2026 (own repository)2026-10-10
tour.5Same pipeline, the Media Lab's neighborhood: 29.4 points off on commute mode, and the miss is printed.OWN WORDINGKendall Square world README (tier2, the reference arm), frozen commit e94f175 (private repository)2026-10-13
tour.6You have been using my control panel. Plug in the real one.OWN WORDINGChapter 082026-10-10
tour.7Everything above this line happened. Everything below it is a model.OWN WORDINGChapter 092026-10-10
tour.8Index · CV · Paper · ContactDERIVED FROM DATAThis site2026-10-10
tp.chip.builtBUILTOWN RECORDOwn project notes and photograph of 22 April 20262026-10-10
mevot.heroMEVOT BOARD · RENDER · JAN 2025OWN RECORDMy own render of the Mevot board2026-10-10
making.hero.1THE PRINTER, MID-PRINT · 7 JAN 2020OWN RECORDMy own photograph, 7 January 20202026-10-10
making.hero.2MEVOT PROTOTYPE CASES · 19 JAN 2020OWN RECORDMy own photograph, 19 January 20202026-10-10
media.delegation-demoDEMO TO THE ANDORRAN DELEGATION · MIT MEDIA LAB · 1 MAY 2026OWN RECORDPhotograph supplied by me, cleared 12 October 2026 (photo: gbila)2026-10-10
media.delegation-panelTHE CONTROL PANEL IN USE · MIT MEDIA LAB · 1 MAY 2026OWN RECORDPhotograph supplied by me, cleared 12 October 2026 (photo: gbila)2026-10-10
media.delegation-roadsEXPLAINING THE ROAD NETWORK · MIT MEDIA LAB · 1 MAY 2026OWN RECORDPhotograph supplied by me, cleared 12 October 2026 (photo: gbila)2026-10-10
media.delegation-terrainTHE TERRAIN MODEL, SEEN BY THE DELEGATION · 1 MAY 2026OWN RECORDPhotograph supplied by me, cleared 12 October 2026 (photo: gbila)2026-10-10
media.delegation-phoneA VISITOR FILMS THE TABLE · 1 MAY 2026OWN RECORDPhotograph supplied by me, cleared 12 October 2026 (photo: gbila)2026-10-10
media.mit-table-2026CITYSCOPE TABLE · MIT MEDIA LAB · 2026OWN RECORDPhotograph supplied by me, cleared 12 October 20262026-10-10
media.gs-colour-andorraRACING FOR ANDORRA · GIANT SLALOMOWN RECORDPhotograph supplied by me, cleared 12 October 20262026-10-10
media.gs-bw-canadaGIANT SLALOM · CANADAOWN RECORDPhotograph supplied by me, cleared 12 October 20262026-10-10
media.sf-lotsMY SMALL-LOT EXPLORER · SAN FRANCISCOOWN RECORDSF small-lot explorer, live map (my public project), captured 13 October 20262026-10-10
media.portrait-bwMARCEL BARTUMEU RAMENTOL · PORTRAITOWN RECORDPhotograph supplied by me, cleared 12 October 20262026-10-10
data.popResident population: official statistics (SIGDDE), 31 December, 2010 to 2024.DERIVED FROM DATASource string of scenarios.json, history.Pop (repository paths removed)2026-10-10
data.gdpGDP per capita, nominal euros, as used in the model inputs.DERIVED FROM DATASource string of scenarios.json, history.GDPpc (repository paths removed)2026-10-10
data.affordHousing burden, percent of income: 2010 to 2017 back-extended, 2018 to 2024 from the household survey (ECV).DERIVED FROM DATASource string of scenarios.json, history.Afford (repository paths removed)2026-10-10
data.co2CO2: national inventory (BTR1) for 2010 to 2021; 2022 to 2024 are fuel-based central estimates, not official.DERIVED FROM DATASource string of scenarios.json, history.CO2_total (repository paths removed)2026-10-10
data.elecElectricity demand: no observed series; 2024 is the model's own 2024 state, and later years assume 2024 use per resident.DERIVED FROM DATASource string of scenarios.json, history.ElectricityDemand_kWh_year; CLAIMS.md Andorra model numbers2026-10-10
data.tourVisitors per year, tourists and day-trippers (2012 methodology), from the tourism series of the model. Not overnight stays.DERIVED FROM DATASource string of scenarios.json, history.Tour; CLAIMS.md Andorra model numbers2026-10-10
data.natcovNatural land cover: an estimate from observed land cover, 2010 to 2024, joined to the model's 2024 state with a 0.034 percentage-point step.DERIVED FROM DATASource string of scenarios.json, history.NatCov (repository paths removed)2026-10-10
data.pm25PM2.5 in Escaldes-Engordany: European Environment Agency TEOM series, 2018 to 2024; the gravimetric years 2014 to 2017 are left out becau…DERIVED FROM DATASource string of scenarios.json, history.PM25 (repository paths removed)2026-10-10
data.bedsHospital beds per 1,000 service population: observed in 2017, 2019, 2023 and 2024.DERIVED FROM DATASource string of scenarios.json, history.HospBedsPer1000SP (repository paths removed)2026-10-10
data.weiSummer water stress (WEI): no observed series; 2024 is the model's own 2024 state.DERIVED FROM DATASource string of scenarios.json, history.WEI_gross_Q32026-10-10
sp.titleA 90,000-person synthetic AndorraDERIVED FROM DATAPopulation run P04, frozen September 20262026-10-10
kendall.questionWithout tuning any constant to the outcome it is scored against, how close does the same pipeline get in another city?OWN WORDINGKendall Square world README, frozen commit (private repository)2026-10-10
kendall.systemThe pipeline that built Andorra's population, pointed at the City of Cambridge, Massachusetts, around Kendall Square: 118,403 residents i…OWN WORDINGKendall Square world README and tier2 run_meta, frozen commit e94f175 (private repository); public/data/kendall-cells.json totals2026-10-13
kendall.evidenceOn the held-out benchmark, the reference run misses the census work-leg mode split by 29.4 points, and walks 9.6% of work legs against 28…OWN WORDINGKendall Square world README and held-out benchmark v2 (tier2, the reference arm), frozen commit e94f175 (private repository); public/data/kendall-cells.json facts2026-10-13
kendall.limitsA variant with timetabled transit (tier 3.1) made the mode-split miss worse, 29.41 to 30.11 points, so it was not adopted. Any trips draw…OWN WORDINGKendall Square world README, docs/TIER3.1_DEMO.md and tier2 run_meta limitations, frozen commit e94f175 (private repository); public/data/kendall-*.json2026-10-13
kendall.creditsCensus geography: U.S. Census Bureau. Street and path geometry © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL). Transit timetables and shapes: MBTA G…DERIVED FROM DATAAttribution strings of public/data/kendall-cells.json, kendall-trips.json and kendall-transit.json2026-10-13
kendall.chip.progressIN PROGRESSOWN RECORDKendall Square world repository (private)2026-10-10
kendall.chip.heldoutHELD-OUT BENCHMARKOWN RECORDKendall Square world README (private repository)2026-10-10